56% think Brexit will be worse than expected


With six months to go until Brexit, the majority of Britons – and the largest part of Leave voters – think Brexit will have a worse outcome than they expected when they voted in the EU referendum, a Sky Data poll reveals.

Some 56% of Britons think the outcome of Brexit will be worse than they thought when voting, against 26% who think it will be as bad as expected, and 9% who think it will be better.

Among people who voted Leave in 2016, 43% think Brexit will not be as good as they believed at the time of the referendum, with 34% saying it will be as expected and 15% thinking it will be better.

:: ‘We’re sticking to our guns’: Six months to Brexit

Most people also think Brexit negotiations have taken longer than they thought (69% overall, 76% of Leavers), and have been more difficult than expected (54% overall, 61% of Leavers).

Sky Data has also been asking a set of questions about Brexit since November 2016, in order to track views on the issue.

:: 78% think the government is doing a bad job on Brexit

:: Most Britons disapprove of Chequers Brexit deal

This shows the British public becoming increasingly pessimistic about the prospect of Brexit across a range issues, with the proportion saying Brexit will be bad for themselves personally (up 11 points from 28% in 2016 to 39% now), for the economy (up nine points from 39% to 48%) and for the country overall (up seven points from 38% to 45%).

People support holding a referendum choosing between leaving the EU on the terms suggested by the government, leaving the EU with no deal, or staying in the EU by 50% to 39% opposed.

:: Miliband and Major call for second EU referendum

And in such a referendum, staying in the EU would be the most popular of the three options on 43%, with 28% backing leaving the EU with no deal, and 15% supporting the government’s proposal.

In a final round, people would now vote to remain in the EU over a no-deal Brexit by 55% to 45%.

:: Sky Data interviewed a nationally representative sample of 1,070 Sky customers interviewed 10-11 September 2018 online. Data are weighted to the profile of the population. Sky Data is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

For full Sky Data tables, please click here.

All previous Sky Data tables for Sky News can be found here.


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